As an example, in the tv show Who Wants to be a Millionaire, the audience is correct 91% of the time, and the expert is correct 65% of the time.
That is obviously a very controlled scenario, but it meets the preconditions the author sets for success:
- Diversity of opinion - Each person can offer a unique point of view.
- Independence - Each person's choice must not be affected by any other person's vote or opinion
- Decentralization - The group must be sufficiently diverse any pre-conceived bias is offset by another member of the group.
- Aggregation - There must be some method of tallying the opinions and determining the 'winningest' choice
- More controlled studies. Anecdotes are fun to read, but they don't *prove* a point.
- More hard numbers. So the group answers correct 91% of the time - does that change depending on how many choices are offered? Who are the experts, and how often are each of them correct?
- More discussion of how to use this knowledge in real life. How can you satisfy the preconditions in your workplace or wherever to implement this concept?